GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/10/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hungerford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownWLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 2.25/2.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Hungerford TownDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Chertsey TownHungerford Town
83.3Attack61.1
83.3Defence44.4
100.0Form50.8
89.7Power52.7
2.31xG1.40
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