GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/21/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Havant & Wville are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 71.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

63.2%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Havant & WvilleWDWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chertsey TownHavant & Wville
83.3Attack0.0
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
89.7Power18.3
2.34xG1.01
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