GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/12/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gloucester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 63.0-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownWWDLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gloucester CityDWLDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownGloucester City
83.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
89.7Power26.7
2.33xG1.04
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