GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/24/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Frome Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Frome Town hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownWLWWL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Frome TownLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownFrome Town
83.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
89.7Power98.0
1.69xG1.49
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