GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/15/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

63.1%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownLLDDW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chertsey TownDorchester Town
83.3Attack52.4
83.3Defence38.9
100.0Form47.6
89.7Power48.3
2.57xG1.18
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