GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 11/12/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 68.2-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownLWWWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Basingstoke TownLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Chertsey TownBasingstoke Town
83.3Attack50.0
83.3Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
89.7Power21.5
2.48xG1.11
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