GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/11/2025, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chertsey Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AFC Totton are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 65.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertsey TownWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AFC TottonLDDWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Chertsey TownAFC Totton
83.3Attack70.6
83.3Defence64.3
100.0Form64.3
89.7Power65.5
1.43xG1.67
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