GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 3/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertanovo U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chertanovo U20 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Ural U20 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural U20 hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Youth Championship, while Chertanovo U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertanovo U20

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

10.8%

Chertanovo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo U20LDLWW

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ural U20LWWLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Chertanovo U20Ural U20
40.4Attack38.6
22.8Defence35.1
29.8Form33.3
34.5Power38.0
1.71xG1.69
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