GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 8/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Chertanovo U20 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Spartak Moskva U19 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moskva U19 hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Youth Championship, while Spartak Moskva U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moskva U19

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

8.3%

Spartak Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo U20LLLDL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak Moskva U19DWWLD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chertanovo U20Spartak Moskva U19
40.7Attack61.1
22.2Defence37.0
31.5Form48.1
35.0Power49.7
1.62xG2.78
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