Chertanovo U20vs
Dinamo Moskva U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertanovo U20 4-2 Dinamo Moskva U19
Original prediction
Dinamo Moskva U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.6% | 31.9% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.9% | 24.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.5% | 43.2% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Moskva U19
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Dinamo Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00