Chertanovo U20vs
CSKA Moskva U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertanovo U20 2-5 CSKA Moskva U19
Original prediction
CSKA Moskva U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.90 | 9.1% | 9.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.80 | 13.2% | 12.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 77.7% | 78.5% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–48%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Moskva U19
Probability
78.5%
Model confidence
78.5%
CSKA Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60