Chertanovo U20vs
Almaz Antey U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almaz Antey U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertanovo U20 1-2 Almaz Antey U19
Original prediction
Almaz Antey U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.5% | 32.2% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 24.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 43.1% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Almaz Antey U19
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Almaz Antey U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 16 · GA 14 · avg 3.20/2.80