Chertanovo U20vs
Akademiya Konoplev U20
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 10/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akademiya Konoplev U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertanovo U20 3-2 Akademiya Konoplev U20
Original prediction
Akademiya Konoplev U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.2% | 19.5% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 18.0% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.3% | 62.5% | 14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Akademiya Konoplev U20
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Akademiya Konoplev U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80