Second League - Group 2Second League - Group 2
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Chertanovo Moscow

Chertanovo Moscow

Home
11
Full time
Zvezda St. Petersburg

Zvezda St. Petersburg

Away
L
Chertanovo Arena
GoalVio prediction
55% confidence
Chertanovo Moscow(55%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Chertanovo Moscow
55%
Draw
26%
Zvezda St. Petersburg
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Zvezda St. Petersburg)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Zvezda St. Petersburg)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Zvezda St. PetersburgZvezda St. Petersburg
L

Probability breakdown

55% confidence
Chertanovo Moscow55%
Draw26%
Zvezda St. Petersburg19%

Chertanovo Moscow leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Chertanovo Moscow head into this in Second League - Group 2 fixture at Chertanovo Arena in unknown form, while Zvezda St. Petersburg arrive in mixed form (L).

Chertanovo Moscow have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Zvezda St. Petersburg have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Chertanovo Moscow and Zvezda St. Petersburg in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Chertanovo Moscow to win with 55% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Chertanovo Moscow 5481%, Draw 2641%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 1878%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Zvezda St. Petersburg

Zvezda St. Petersburg

L
vs Spartak Moscow 2
23 Jun 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?

GoalVio's model predicts Chertanovo Moscow to win with 55% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chertanovo Moscow vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more