Chertanovo Moscowvs
Tekstilshchik
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tekstilshchik · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertanovo Moscow 2-1 Tekstilshchik
Original prediction
Tekstilshchik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.75 | 24.8% | 34.6% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.0% | 28.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 48.2% | 36.8% | -11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Tekstilshchik
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Tekstilshchik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80