GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 8/5/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chertanovo Moscow are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.0 against 50.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo MoscowLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Metallurg LipetskDWLDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chertanovo MoscowMetallurg Lipetsk
38.9Attack35.2
66.7Defence63.0
40.7Form50.0
49.0Power50.7
0.92xG0.65
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