GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chita · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chertanovo Moscow are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chita are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chita hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Cup, while Chita holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chita

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

13.4%

Chita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo MoscowLLDDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
ChitaW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Chertanovo MoscowChita
0.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power97.0
1.15xG1.52
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