Chertanovo Moscowvs
Cherepovets
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chertanovo Moscow · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Chertanovo Moscow 2-0 Cherepovets, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertanovo Moscow 2-0 Cherepovets
Original prediction
Chertanovo Moscow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.7% | 71.5% | 12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.9% | 18.2% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.18 | 17.4% | 10.3% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Projected Score
Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Cherepovets
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Chertanovo Moscow
Probability
71.5%
Model confidence
71.5%
Chertanovo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40