Chertanovo Moscowvs
Baltika II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chertanovo Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chertanovo Moscow 1-0 Baltika II
Original prediction
Chertanovo Moscow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.9% | 42.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 27.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.9% | 29.7% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Chertanovo Moscow
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Chertanovo Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00