GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/22/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Amkar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chertanovo Moscow are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Amkar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Amkar hold a 47.3-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 96.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while Amkar holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Amkar

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Amkar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chertanovo MoscowLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
AmkarWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chertanovo MoscowAmkar
38.9Attack88.9
66.7Defence100.0
40.7Form100.0
49.0Power96.3
0.87xG1.15
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