GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chernomorets are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Rodina Moskva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the First League, while Rodina Moskva holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moskva

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Rodina Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernomoretsDDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Rodina MoskvaWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChernomoretsRodina Moskva
29.4Attack52.0
62.7Defence69.6
34.3Form53.9
44.0Power58.4
0.55xG1.11
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