Chernomoretsvs
Rodina Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodina Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Chernomorets are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Rodina Moskva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the First League, while Rodina Moskva holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rodina Moskva
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Rodina Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/2.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60