Chernomoretsvs
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/17/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Chernomorets are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Alaniya Vladikavkaz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alaniya Vladikavkaz hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00