Chernomorets 1919 Burgasvs
Sportist Svoge
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-0 Sportist Svoge, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-1 Sportist Svoge
Original prediction
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 72.7% | 70.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.3% | 22.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 11.31 | 8.0% | 7.3% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Projected Score
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1–0 Sportist Svoge
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
70.7%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60