GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 7/18/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Marek are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Second League, while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
MarekLWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Chernomorets 1919 BurgasMarek
33.3Attack22.2
77.8Defence66.7
55.6Form33.3
59.1Power43.7
1.17xG0.80
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