Chernomorets 1919 Burgasvs
Ludogorets II
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-0 Ludogorets II, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-0 Ludogorets II
Original prediction
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.6% | 47.3% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 29.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 17.9% | 22.8% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Projected Score
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0–0 Ludogorets II
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40