Cherno More Varnavs
Hebar 1918
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cherno More Varna are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hebar 1918 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hebar 1918 hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (25.8 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80