Chernihivvs
Vorskla Poltava II
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 5/4/2025, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernihiv · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chernihiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Vorskla Poltava II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.3% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chernihiv
Probability
81.3%
Model confidence
81.3%
Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40