GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/13/2024, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chernihiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Trostianets are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernihiv

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernihivWDWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TrostianetsDLWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ChernihivTrostianets
55.6Attack33.3
85.2Defence83.3
70.4Form50.0
69.9Power56.2
1.70xG0.67
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