GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/29/2024, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chernihiv are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Oleksandria II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernihiv

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernihivWDWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Oleksandria IILWLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChernihivOleksandria II
55.6Attack22.2
85.2Defence88.9
70.4Form55.6
69.9Power59.1
1.60xG0.63
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