GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/19/2025, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chernihiv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernihiv

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernihivWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Nyva VinnytsyaWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ChernihivNyva Vinnytsya
55.6Attack55.6
85.2Defence44.4
70.4Form44.4
69.9Power51.1
1.96xG0.74
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