GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/31/2024, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernihiv · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chernihiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.8% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernihiv

Probability

68.8%

Model confidence

68.8%

Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernihivWDLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv KyivLDLLL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ChernihivLokomotiv Kyiv
55.6Attack44.9
85.2Defence44.9
70.4Form38.5
69.9Power43.7
2.14xG0.63
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