GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/2/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Livyi Bereh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chernihiv are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Livyi Bereh are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Livyi Bereh hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Cup, while Livyi Bereh holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Livyi Bereh

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Livyi Bereh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernihivWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.33/2.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Livyi BerehWW

GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 3.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
ChernihivLivyi Bereh
33.3Attack55.6
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power64.7
1.13xG1.52
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