Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inhulets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Chernihiv are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Inhulets are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Inhulets hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 76.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Persha Liga, while Inhulets holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Inhulets
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
65.3%
Inhulets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.25/2.50
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60