GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/25/2024, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Chernihiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Hirnyk-Sport are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chernihiv

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChernihivWWLDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Hirnyk-SportLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChernihivHirnyk-Sport
55.6Attack35.2
85.2Defence63.0
70.4Form48.1
69.9Power51.4
1.41xG0.50
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