Cherepovetsvs
Torpedo Vladimir
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cherepovets · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cherepovets 0-1 Torpedo Vladimir
Original prediction
Cherepovets
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.8% | 36.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.3% | 30.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.8% | 32.8% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Cherepovets
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Cherepovets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20