GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 3/10/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cherepovets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Cherepovets are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cherepovets hold a 65.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cherepovets holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cherepovets

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Cherepovets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CherepovetsDDWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Metallurg LipetskWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CherepovetsMetallurg Lipetsk
100.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
97.0Power31.3
2.29xG1.19
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