Cherepovetsvs
Luki-Energiya
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luki-Energiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cherepovets 1-0 Luki-Energiya
Original prediction
Luki-Energiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.7% | 25.3% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 26.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.7% | 47.8% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Luki-Energiya
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Luki-Energiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80