Cherepovetsvs
Dinamo Vologda
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cherepovets 1-2 Dinamo Vologda
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.4% | 34.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.3% | 30.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.3% | 35.4% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60