Cheongjuvs
Seongnam FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/9/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seongnam FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cheongju 3-1 Seongnam FC
Original prediction
Seongnam FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.1% | 34.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.1% | 29.1% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.8% | 36.8% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Seongnam FC
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Seongnam FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20