GGOALVIO

South-Korea · FA Cup · 3/29/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cheongju · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cheongju are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Jungnang Chorus Mustang are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 9.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cheongju hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the FA Cup, while Cheongju holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cheongju

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Cheongju has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CheongjuDDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Jungnang Chorus MustangW

GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 9.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
CheongjuJungnang Chorus Mustang
66.7Attack100.0
83.3Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
71.2Power57.5
2.01xG1.56
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