FA CupFA Cup
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Cheonan City

Cheonan City

Home
W
21
Full time
Mokpo City

Mokpo City

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Cheonan City(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Cheonan City
Win probability
Cheonan City
40%
Draw
35%
Mokpo City
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cheonan City
73
Mokpo City
73
Defence
Cheonan City
66
Mokpo City
27
Momentum
Cheonan City
100
Mokpo City
50
Danger (xG)
Cheonan City
1.80
Mokpo City
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Cheonan City)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Mokpo City)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Cheonan City)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Mokpo City)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Cheonan CityCheonan City
WLLD
Mokpo CityMokpo City
LW

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Cheonan City40%
Draw35%
Mokpo City25%

Cheonan City leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Cheonan City head into this in FA Cup fixture in mixed form (W), while Mokpo City arrive in mixed form (LW). Cheonan City have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Mokpo City over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Cheonan City (73/100) and Mokpo City (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Cheonan City have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Mokpo City have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Cheonan City have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Cheonan City to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Cheonan City 3968%, Draw 3500%, Mokpo City 2532%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Cheonan City 1Draws 00 Mokpo City
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Cheonan City
W21
Mokpo City

Recent form

Cheonan City

Cheonan City

W
vs Mokpo City
15 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Gimhae City
10 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Gyeongnam FC
5 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Paju Citizen
16 May 2026
00
Mokpo City

Mokpo City

L
@ Cheonan City
15 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Anseong
4 Jul 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cheonan City vs Mokpo City?

GoalVio's model predicts Cheonan City to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cheonan City vs Mokpo City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Cheonan City vs Mokpo City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cheonan City vs Mokpo City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more