Cheonan Cityvs
Hwaseong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hwaseong · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cheonan City 1-1 Hwaseong
Original prediction
Hwaseong
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.41 | 26.8% | 23.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.3% | 26.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.9% | 50.3% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Hwaseong
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Hwaseong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60