Cheonan Cityvs
Gyeongnam FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/10/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongnam FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cheonan City 1-0 Gyeongnam FC
Original prediction
Gyeongnam FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.7% | 33.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 29.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.9% | 37.1% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Gyeongnam FC
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Gyeongnam FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40