Chengdu Rongcheng IIvs
Tai'an Tiankuang
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/19/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chengdu Rongcheng II 0-0 Tai'an Tiankuang, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chengdu Rongcheng II 1-1 Tai'an Tiankuang
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.6% | 27.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 33.1% | 34.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.4% | 37.6% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.72 · Draw 1.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Chengdu Rongcheng II 0–0 Tai'an Tiankuang
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00