Chengdu Rongcheng IIvs
Qingdao Red Lions
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/13/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chengdu Rongcheng II 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chengdu Rongcheng II 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.1% | 33.6% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.3% | 34.1% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.6% | 32.3% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.88 · Draw 1.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Chengdu Rongcheng II 0–0 Qingdao Red Lions
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
34.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40