Chengdu Rongcheng IIvs
Nantong Haimen Codion
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/18/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantong Haimen Codion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chengdu Rongcheng II 0-0 Nantong Haimen Codion, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chengdu Rongcheng II 1-3 Nantong Haimen Codion
Original prediction
Nantong Haimen Codion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 25.0% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.6% | 33.0% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.1% | 42.0% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Chengdu Rongcheng II 0–0 Nantong Haimen Codion
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Nantong Haimen Codion
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Nantong Haimen Codion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80