GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/4/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chengdu Rongcheng II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guangdong Mingtu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangdong Mingtu hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chengdu Rongcheng IIDDWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guangdong MingtuDLLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chengdu Rongcheng IIGuangdong Mingtu
30.0Attack31.7
61.7Defence68.3
35.0Form38.3
43.8Power48.4
0.60xG0.67
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