Chengdu Better Cityvs
Tianjin Teda
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/10/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chengdu Better City 0-1 Tianjin Teda
Original prediction
Chengdu Better City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 51.0% | 53.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.8% | 24.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.2% | 22.5% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Chengdu Better City
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20