Chengdu Better Cityvs
Shenyang Urban
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 8/29/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chengdu Better City 2-1 Shenyang Urban
Original prediction
Chengdu Better City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 70.2% | 72.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.42 | 17.1% | 15.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 7.29 | 12.7% | 12.1% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Chengdu Better City
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
72.4%
Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80