GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chengdu Better City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chengdu Better City hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.4% in the Super League, while Chengdu Better City holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chengdu Better City

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

58.4%

Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chengdu Better CityWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SHANGHAI SIPGDDDLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chengdu Better CitySHANGHAI SIPG
63.6Attack54.5
66.7Defence53.0
68.2Form45.5
66.7Power52.3
2.03xG0.96
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